Backtest status
Latest finding: one small-sample positive pocket, zero validated strategies.
Expanded Strategy Lab tested 39 research-only variants. The best-looking mined rule was positive in discovery and walk-forward, then failed locked holdout. Candidate strategies remain 0.
Latest Strategy Lab Findings
I tested 39 research-only rule variants. One data-mined pocket was positive in discovery and walk-forward, but it failed locked holdout and only had 77 resolved bets. Candidate strategies remain 0; paper evaluation remains blocked; live-wagerable strategies remain 0.
| Strategy | Resolved | Discovery ROI | Walk-Forward ROI | Holdout ROI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mined_nw_rank6_outside_midodds_win | 77 | +14.81% | +18.28% | -2.31% | SMALL_SAMPLE_DIAGNOSTIC |
| mined_nw_deep_model_rank6_win | 214 | -2.34% | +0.06% | -13.42% | SMALL_SAMPLE_DIAGNOSTIC |
| open_class_consensus_win | 45 | -17.67% | -35.14% | +52.22% | SMALL_SAMPLE_DIAGNOSTIC |
Strategy ranking
Least bad, most trustworthy first.
Trend evidence
Two charts by default.
Cumulative Profit
Primary trendDaily P/L
Secondary trendBankroll / Daily LimitCollapsed by default
Bet Type PerformanceOpen only when needed
Confidence BucketsDiagnostics drawer
Resolved tickets